Twins-Tigers odds, picks, predictions for April 11 from proven model

The Detroit Tigers, currently leading the AL Central, will be facing off against the Minnesota Twins on Friday in an exciting matchup starting at 8:10 p.m. This game is part of Friday’s Apple TV+ doubleheader. Reese Olson (1-1, 5.06 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Tigers, while David Festa will be making his first MLB start of the year for the Twins.

Detroit has had a strong start to the season, with a 7-5 record and the second-best wRC+ in baseball. The offense has been led by the breakout performance of Spencer Torkelson, while the pitching staff has also been solid with the 10th-best ERA in the league.

On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins have been struggling at 4-9, hitting just .199 as a team. Injuries and poor performances from key players like Royce Lewis and Carlos Correa have hampered the team. Outfielder Matt Wallner has been a bright spot, but the Twins will need more production from the lineup.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook, Olson’s strikeouts prop for the game is set at 5.5, with the Under favored at -138. Festa is also set at 5.5, with his Under favored at -148. The favorite players to hit a home run for each team are Byron Buxton for the Twins and Kerry Carpenter for the Tigers, both at +480.

In terms of betting odds, the Twins are -115 favorites on the money line, while the Tigers are -101 underdogs. The total runs for the game are set at 7.5.

Looking at the SportsLine model’s projections for the Tigers-Twins game:

DETROIT TIGERS at MINNESOTA TWINS | 4/11 | 8:10 p.m. ET

Money line

Pick: Twins -115

The model predicts that the Twins have a 55% chance of winning, making them a valuable bet at these odds.

Run line

Pick: Twins -1.5 (-200)

The model suggests that the Twins will cover the spread in 71% of simulations, offering value at these odds.

Over/Under

Pick: Over 7.5 runs

The model predicts that the total runs scored will go over 7.5 in 58% of simulations.

Projected score: Twins 4.3, Tigers 4.2