Tyler Soderstrom, Athletics’ first baseman, has become the new MLB home run leader by hitting two home runs against the White Sox on Tuesday, bringing his total for the season to eight. Soderstrom, a former top-60 MLB prospect, is now showcasing his power in his third MLB season. However, he faces challenging conditions with cold weather (44 degrees) and wind at Rate Field in Chicago on Wednesday night. The latest MLB home run odds at FanDuel Sportsbook have Soderstrom at +520 to hit another home run. Should he be considered for your MLB HR picks?
With all 30 teams playing on Wednesday, there are numerous options for MLB home run bets. Aaron Judge of the Yankees (+210) has the shortest odds on the home run board, despite not hitting a home run since April 4. With MLB HR props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s computer model can help identify value for your MLB home run parlay picks.
The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is on a 34-19 run on all top-rated MLB picks on the run line since 2023. It successfully predicted home runs by Shohei Ohtani and Bobby Witt on Monday, as well as Tyler Soderstrom on Tuesday. The model has accurately predicted a HR prop in six out of the last eight days, resulting in a 15.2 unit gain during that period. Now, the model and SportsLine’s Data Scientists have provided projections for some of the most popular MLB HR props on Wednesday. These three picks can be combined for +15025 odds, potentially paying out $756.25 on a $5 bet at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Byron Buxton (+420)
Buxton, known for his power when healthy, has hit 95 home runs in 379 games over the last five seasons. Despite a slow start, Buxton has shown signs of improvement, with multi-hit games and home runs in recent outings. Against Mets’ pitcher Justin Hagenman, who has struggled with home runs in the minors this season, Buxton has favorable odds to hit a home run with BetMGM offering +340.
Corey Seager (+450)
Seager, a consistent power hitter with the Rangers, has shown promise with a two-homer game last week and a strong performance in recent games. With a career-high OPS and 3 home runs in his last 8 games, Seager presents great value for a home run with BetMGM offering +450.
Matt Mervis (+525)
Mervis, who has found success with the Marlins this season, has hit five home runs already and has a history of power hitting in Triple-A. Facing pitcher Brandon Pfaadt, who has struggled with home runs on the road, Mervis has a good chance to hit a home run with BetMGM offering +525.
Want more MLB picks for Wednesday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for some popular props on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
You can also check out today’s best MLB picks from Matt Severance, who has a strong record of 50-25 on baseball picks. Visit SportsLine to see his top plays for today, all from the expert on a 50-25 roll.
Looking for more MLB player prop predictions? SportsLine’s Prop Bet Guy Doug has a 17-11 record on his last 28 MLB props. Check out all his latest selections now on SportsLine.
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