The Atlanta Braves are aiming to even up their four-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball. The Phillies have taken two out of the first three games, including a 3-0 victory on Saturday night. The Braves, sitting in second place in the National League East with a 74-62 record, have a 38-34 road record in 2024. On the other hand, the Phillies, leading the NL East with an 80-56 record, boast a strong 46-25 home record this season.
The game is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The latest odds from SportsLine consensus have Philadelphia as a -130 favorite on the money line (bet $130 to win $100), with the over/under set at 8 runs. Before making any picks, make sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s reliable computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model runs simulations of every MLB game 10,000 times and has been on a 29-13 run on top-rated run-line picks (+1010) dating back to last season. The model has now made its picks and predictions for Braves vs. Phillies. You can find the model’s picks on SportsLine. Here are some MLB odds and betting lines for the game:
- Braves vs. Phillies money line: Atlanta +110, Philadelphia -130
- Braves vs. Phillies over/under: 8 runs
- Braves vs. Phillies run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+160)
- ATL: The Braves have won the first five innings money line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+12.75 units)
- PHI: The Phillies have gone under the team total in 25 of their last 38 home games (+10.90 units)
- Braves vs. Phillies picks: Check out picks at SportsLine
Reasons to Support the Phillies
Philadelphia is expected to start right-hander Aaron Nola (12-6, 3.30 ERA). Nola, who will be making his 28th start of the season, has been solid on the mound. In his last outing, he secured a win against the Houston Astros, pitching seven innings and allowing just four hits and one walk while striking out six. Nola has a good track record against the Braves, with a 16-11 record and a 3.60 ERA in 36 career starts against them.
One of Philadelphia’s top hitters is shortstop Trea Turner, who had a homer in Saturday’s game against Atlanta. Turner boasts a .299 batting average this season with 20 doubles, 15 homers, 48 RBI, and 70 runs scored. He has historically performed well against the Braves, hitting .291 with 27 doubles, six triples, 22 homers, and 66 RBI in 123 career games against them.
Reasons to Support the Braves
On the Braves’ side, right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6, 3.72 ERA) will take the mound. Schwellenbach has pitched 87 innings this season, allowing 75 hits, 36 earned runs, and 18 walks while striking out 102 batters. He has won two of his last three decisions and holds a 2-0 record against the Phillies this season. In his recent win over Philadelphia, he pitched 6.2 innings, allowing three hits, two earned runs, and one walk while striking out nine.
Designated hitter Marcell Ozuna is one of the Braves’ top hitters, with a .307 batting average, 27 doubles, 37 homers, 98 RBI, and 85 runs scored in 136 games this season. Ozuna has a strong history against Philadelphia, hitting .273 with 24 doubles, 22 homers, 67 RBI, and 62 runs scored in 101 career games.
How to Make Braves vs. Phillies Picks
The SportsLine model suggests betting on the over for the run total, predicting 9.3 combined runs. It also indicates that one side of the money line holds significant value. For the MLB model’s picks, visit SportsLine.
Curious about who will win between the Braves and Phillies and which side offers the best value? Head over to SportsLine now to get all the insights from the model that has been successful with top-rated MLB run-line picks.
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