When looking at the first-time players on the 2025 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia stand out. Following them are intriguing players like former teammates Ian Kinsler and Dustin Pedroia.
While there are differences between Kinsler and Pedroia, their cases end up in a similar place on the periphery of the ballot. Let’s examine each player individually before comparing them head-to-head.
The case for Pedroia
Pedroia is one of 31 players in MLB history to win both a Rookie of the Year and MVP award. In his 14 seasons, he accumulated impressive stats and was a key contributor to the Red Sox’s success, winning two World Series titles.
His prime years from 2008-2013 showcased his MVP-caliber performance, with excellent offensive and defensive contributions. Pedroia’s accolades, including Gold Gloves and a Silver Slugger, highlight his impact on the field.
While Pedroia falls slightly below the average Hall of Famer at second base according to the JAWS system, his overall career achievements make a compelling case for Hall of Fame induction.
The case for Kinsler
Kinsler, with four All-Star appearances and a World Series ring, had a productive career spanning 14 seasons. His offensive numbers, including hits, runs, and stolen bases, are noteworthy.
Despite not winning an MVP, Kinsler’s playoff success and consistency on the field make him a strong candidate for Hall of Fame consideration. His defensive prowess and contributions to multiple playoff appearances add to his resume.
Who wins?
While Kinsler holds the edge in career WAR, Pedroia’s peak performance and impact on winning teams give him an advantage in JAWS. The comparison between the two players showcases their unique strengths and contributions to the game.
Ultimately, the decision on whether Pedroia or Kinsler belongs in the Hall of Fame may come down to voters’ preferences for peak performance versus longevity. Both players have made compelling cases for consideration in baseball’s most prestigious honor.
When considering their chances of making it into the Hall of Fame, Chase Utley seems to be a superior candidate compared to Dustin Pedroia and Ian Kinsler. Utley received 28.8% of the vote last year, which might make it harder for Pedroia and Kinsler to secure a spot. It is unlikely that either Pedroia or Kinsler will be inducted into the Hall of Fame through the BBWAA ballot. Pedroia may have a better chance via a committee vote in the distant future due to his esteemed reputation in baseball circles. It is anticipated that Pedroia will receive a higher percentage of votes on the initial BBWAA ballot, potentially allowing him to stay on the ballot for subsequent years. Kinsler, on the other hand, may have a lower chance of staying on the ballot. Nevertheless, both players are unlikely to be inducted into the Hall of Fame in the 2025 vote. A ballpark estimate suggests that Pedroia may receive around 15% of the vote, while Kinsler might only reach the 5% mark.