The Monday MLB schedule includes eight games, with seven starting after 6 p.m. ET, providing ample time to assess MLB props at top sportsbooks. Betting on runs scored is a popular strategy in MLB betting, often offering favorable returns. The Cincinnati Reds have been strong offensively this season, ranking fourth in the majors in runs scored (117). Shortstop Elly De La Cruz leads the team with 15 runs scored, including one in four consecutive games. He is -110 to score a run on Monday against Miami (+102) at FanDuel Sportsbook.
When it comes to MLB runs scored bets, it’s not always the stars who are the best players to back, as they are often driving in other players. With MLB props available for nearly every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s advanced computer model can help identify value for your MLB runs scored parlay picks.
The model runs simulations of every game 10,000 times and is currently on a 13-6 streak on all top-rated MLB picks this season. It has also successfully predicted top HR props in 10 out of the last 13 days, including Fernando Tatis Jr. (+450) and De La Cruz (+700) on Sunday, resulting in a gain of more than 32 units during that period. The model, along with SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists, has shared projections for some of the most popular MLB run props on Monday. These three picks can be combined for +409 odds, potentially earning over $400 on a $100 bet.
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 runs scored (-160)
Judge leads the team with 21 runs scored, tied for fourth in the majors with Shohei Ohtani. He has scored seven runs in his last nine games for the Yankees, who have scored the second-most runs in the MLB this season. Judge faces Guardians pitcher Gavin Williams, who allowed five earned runs in his last start against Baltimore. The model gives Judge an 80% chance of scoring a run on Monday, making this a 4-star prop pick with implied odds of 61.5%. Bet365 offers the best price for this prop at -160.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 runs scored (-135)
Tatis has scored 22 runs this season, tied for the second-most in the majors. He is coming off a stellar performance against Houston on Sunday night, with two hits, including a home run, a triple, a walk, and three runs scored. Tatis has hit seven home runs in his last 11 games and scored nine runs in his last six games. The model gives him a 70% chance of scoring a run against Detroit on Monday, rating this as a 4-star prop pick. Bet365 also offers the best price for this prop at -135.
Juan Soto Over 0.5 runs scored (-125)
Soto leads the team with 16 runs scored this season, despite trailing teammates Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor in total hits. He had a strong weekend against St. Louis, with back-to-back multi-hit games after a nine-game drought. Soto scored a run in both of those games and has scored in five straight games against teams with a winning record. The model gives him a 70% chance of scoring a run, making this a 4-star MLB prop pick. DraftKings Sportsbook offers this prop at -125.
Looking for more MLB picks for Monday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB run scored prop picks for some popular props on Monday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
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You can also find today’s top MLB picks from Matt Severance, who has a hot streak of 64-29 on MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who has gained over 16 units.
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