After two days of thrilling matches, the Champions League semi-finalists have been determined.
Surprisingly, the team that was vocal about a potential comeback, Real Madrid, failed to overturn their deficit against Arsenal. The Gunners have advanced to the semi-finals for the first time in 16 years after a convincing victory over the Spanish giants.
Arsenal will now face Paris Saint-Germain in a historic clash, guaranteeing a potential first-time winner in the final on 26 May.
With three of the top four teams from the group stage still in contention, the semi-finals promise to be exciting. Here is how Opta’s supercomputer predicts each team’s chances of winning the tournament as we approach the final stages.
|
Team |
Chances of winning the Champions League (%) |
|---|---|
|
Arsenal |
28.7 |
|
Inter |
25.5 |
|
PSG |
24.0 |
|
Barcelona |
21.8 |
Following their impressive performance against Real Madrid, Arsenal has been labeled as the favorites by Opta’s supercomputer. Their recent victory in Madrid has only boosted their chances, with Opta predicting Arsenal to defeat PSG in the semi-finals and emerge victorious against either Barcelona or Inter in the final.
Arsenal comes out on top in 28.7% of Opta’s simulations, making them the frontrunners among the four teams.
Inter’s victory over Bayern Munich has instilled confidence in their campaign, with Opta giving them a 25.5% chance of winning the tournament, positioning them as the second favorites heading into the semi-finals.
In a rematch of a classic semi-final from years past, Inter will face Barcelona, who despite their strong form, are considered a challenging matchup for the Catalans by Opta.
According to the supercomputer, Barcelona has the lowest chance of winning the Champions League at 21.8%, reflecting their recent struggles against Borussia Dortmund.
Despite a scare in the quarter-finals, PSG managed to progress and will face Arsenal in the semis. Opta rates their chances at 24%, acknowledging their improvement throughout the season.

