Pirates Face Cardinals at Busch Stadium
Pirates ace Paul Skenes looks to bounce back from his recent loss as he takes on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. In his last outing, Skenes (3-3, 2.74 ERA) gave up three runs in an 8-3 defeat to the Cubs. This season, he has already matched his total number of losses from last year, where he had an impressive 11-3 record. Skenes will be up against Cardinals lefty Matthew Liberatore (2-3, 3.44 ERA) in this matchup.
The sportsbooks have set Skenes’ total strikeout player prop at 6.5 (Over +124, Under -155), while Liberatore’s is at 4.5 (Over -143, Under +125). The SportsLine Projection Model rates Skenes Over 6.5 as a 3.5-star play and Liberatore Over 4.5 as a 2.5-star play after simulating every MLB game 10,000 times.
Aside from this game, the model has identified three pitcher strikeout player props worth considering on Tuesday’s busy schedule:
Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 strikeouts (+125) vs. Braves (7:15 p.m. ET)
Rating: 4.5 stars
Model projection: 5.2 strikeouts
Sean Burke Over 3.5 strikeouts (+100) vs. Royals (7:40 p.m. ET)
Rating: 4.5 stars
Model projection: 4.5 strikeouts
Hayden Wesneski Over 4.5 strikeouts (-102) vs. Brewers (7:40 p.m. ET)
Rating: 4.5 stars
Model projection: 5.3 strikeouts
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